Can we expect the RBA to cut back rates this summer?

With only one Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate decision left in 2024, a rate cut before summer’s end seems possible but unlikely in December. Despite inflation falling to 2.8%, within the RBA’s target, the central bank is cautious about temporary cost-of-living relief affecting inflation data. Most major banks, including Commonwealth Bank and Westpac, expect rate cuts to start as early as February 2025. However, homeowners might see savings sooner by refinancing, as lenders have already begun lowering variable rates due to anticipated cuts. Refinancing could offer immediate budget relief ahead of Christmas, despite the wait for official cuts.

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Jenni Anderson
Can Aussie Banks and Tech Giants Keep Up the Pace?

Recently, both Australian banking stocks and the "Magnificent 7" tech giants have attracted significant attention due to their soaring valuations. Investors often use various methods to assess a company's worth, with Price Earnings (P/E) Ratios and Earnings Multipliers being among the most common. These metrics offer different insights into a company’s potential for growth and profitability. While high valuations can indicate investor optimism, they also raise concerns about sustainability and the possibility of market corrections. This article explores the valuation trends in both sectors and examines whether these elevated prices are justified or poised for adjustment.

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Jenni Anderson
Market Update - 16th November 2024

The RBA kept Australia’s cash rate steady at 4.35%, pointing to inflation declines due to cheaper fuel and electricity but maintaining restrictive policy to reach the 2.5% target. Rising employment makes rate cuts less likely in the near term. On the ASX, tech, consumer discretionary, and financial stocks saw strong gains, while energy and materials lagged due to weaker Chinese demand for iron ore and lower oil prices. In the US, markets rallied following Trump’s re-election but dipped when the Fed cut rates by 0.25% and indicated a cautious stance on further cuts amid a strong economic outlook.

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Jenni Anderson
Tax Obligations for Australian Citizens Who Have Moved Overseas

Australians moving abroad must understand specific tax obligations to remain compliant. The first step is determining tax residency status, which influences how income is taxed. Australian-source income is taxable in Australia for both residents and non-residents, while residents must also declare worldwide income, with potential foreign tax offsets to avoid double taxation. Capital Gains Tax (CGT) applies differently based on residency, and superannuation rules vary accordingly. Australians abroad may still need to file annual returns, declare study loan repayment obligations, and possibly report foreign income. Seeking professional advice is recommended to handle complex tax rules and avoid penalties.

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Jenni Anderson
Market Update - 2nd November 2024

The ASX has dipped 1.49% recently, influenced by delayed interest rate cuts and a selloff as investors realised gains. The real estate sector suffered the most, with a 5% decline due to prolonged high interest rates, while consumer staples, particularly Woolworths, faced significant losses. Internationally, U.S. mega-cap tech companies are expected to report an average growth of 18.1% this quarter, with large-cap stocks outperforming small-caps. Gold prices have surged over 31% amid geopolitical uncertainties and concerns about U.S. debt, adding to market volatility ahead of upcoming elections.

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Jenni Anderson
What’s going on with negative gearing?

Negative gearing allows Australian property investors to claim a tax deduction when the costs of owning an investment property exceed its rental income. This strategy reduces taxable income, making it popular among investors looking to offset other income, such as wages. For example, if a property generates a $10,000 annual loss, an investor can claim that loss to lower their taxable income, saving thousands in tax. Negative gearing has been a point of political debate, with recent discussions about its impact on housing supply. While popular, it’s not for everyone, so consulting a tax professional is advised.

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Jenni Anderson
Estate Planning and Asset Protection

Estate planning ensures your assets are managed and distributed according to your wishes after death, supporting loved ones and securing your legacy. Core elements include wills, which outline asset distribution, guardianship for minors, and may include trusts or life interests for tailored control. Trusts can protect assets, offer tax benefits, and follow specific wishes, while powers of attorney appoint someone to make decisions if you’re incapacitated. Probate validates the will, ensuring debts and taxes are paid first. Key considerations include tax implications for superannuation and cross-border assets, as well as protection strategies like family trusts and insurance. Seeking professional advice is essential to create a legally sound, tax-efficient plan.

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Jenni Anderson
The Impact of U.S. Elections on Markets

As the U.S. presidential election nears, investors are closely watching the race, though substantial policy changes hinge on Congressional control. Each candidate’s goals may be tempered by a divided Congress, as passing laws requires cooperation. Different election outcomes could influence markets: a “Red Wave” could boost profits for banks, aerospace, and oil sectors through deregulation, while a “Blue Wave” might drive clean energy and domestic manufacturing. Although elections often heighten investor anxiety, historical data shows markets trend upward in the long term, regardless of party. Focusing on long-term goals, rather than short-term political shifts, is crucial for investors.

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Jenni Anderson
Could Rate Cuts Mean House Prices Heat Up Again?

With interest rates expected to fall in 2024, home prices could rise as a result. Several major banks predict rate cuts, possibly starting by Christmas. Historically, rate cuts have pushed property prices higher, and experts suggest that just one cut could increase home values by 0.6%, adding $5,000 on average. Sydney, Melbourne, and Brisbane may see notable increases, though some markets like Perth might respond differently. While lower rates can boost borrowing power, they could also drive up competition and home prices, making now a potentially good time to buy, especially with an increased supply of housing available.

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Jenni Anderson